← Whimsy Game Cafe Store Champs AMB
Water Ravishing MillTier 1
at Whimsy Game Cafe Store Champs AMB
decks
2
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
4-4-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.7%
avg ELO -0.6 per match
expected value
52.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1432
· median 1432
· range 1419–1445
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1090
Q1 1297
Q3 1449
1642
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 18.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 9.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.6% | -12.9 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 9.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.0% | +9.6 |
| Wind Razorgale | 9.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.3% | -1.1 |
| Slimes | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.8 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +12.9 |
| Water Allies | 3.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.3% | -11.2 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Water Ravishing Mill decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
